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Ukraine War Shows Danger of Demographic Winter

The Ukraine war shows danger of Demographic Winter, which might not be obvious at the outset, but shows more insight into Russia’s objective.
The Ukraine war shows danger of Demographic Winter, which might not be obvious at the outset, but shows more insight into Russia's objective.

“Most observers are missing the demographic dimension of the war in the Ukraine,” said Ruth Institute Communications Director Don Feder. “Russia needs people, and in Ukraine there are 41 million people who are ethnically identical to its own.”

“By absorbing Ukraine, it will increase its population almost 30% overnight,” Feder observed.

“Like every other industrialized nation, Russia faces a demographic crisis. Although higher than our own, Russia has below replacement fertility and a much smaller population base. Its population is 146 million, less than half of America’s 332 million,” Feder explained. “That’s 146 million people to hold the largest land mass of any nation.”

“Moscow’s answer could be to absorb neighboring populations. International instability is one of the hidden dangers of falling fertility.”

Ruth Institute President Dr. Jennifer Roback Morse, Ph.D., added: “Demographic Winter could be the plague of the century. Replacement level fertility is 2.1. After decades of decline, the U.S. fertility rate is now 1.78. Russia’s is 1.82. In 1960, worldwide, the average woman had 5 children. Today worldwide fertility is 2.4 and falling. As early as 2030, the world could be at below replacement fertility. That means we will soon begin running out of people – people to man the factories and farms, people to serve as first responders, and people to fill the ranks of the armed forces.” “The Ruth Institute is one of the few organizations to sound the alarm on declining fertility,” Morse said. “Don gave an excellent presentation on this issue at last year’s Summit for Survivors of the Sexual Revolution. And we launched our Demographic Winter Resource Center with a wealth of information on what could be the greatest challenge humanity will face this century.”

About the Ruth Institute

The Ruth Institute is a global non-profit organization, leading an international interfaith coalition to defend the family and build a civilization of love.

Jennifer Roback Morse has a Ph.D. in economics and has taught at Yale and George Mason University. She is the author of The Sexual State and Love and Economics – It Takes a Family to Raise a Village.

To get more information or schedule an interview with Dr. Morse, contact media@ruthinstitute.org.


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